2026-03-17
SpaceX Pre-IPO Secondary Valuation Surges to $800B as Mega-Listing Approaches
Pengana Capital has doubled its internal SpaceX valuation to $800 billion, up from $400 billion, following a December secondary share transaction. The anticipated IPO could target a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion — what would be the largest listing in history — with the raise potentially topping $50 billion.
Secondary Market Validates SpaceX at $800B Pengana Capital, the Sydney-based investment manager, has formally doubled its internal valuation of SpaceX to $800 billion , citing a secondary share transaction completed in December 2025. The firm, which holds SpaceX as the largest position in its Private Equity Trust, reported a 5.2% return in February alone — driven substantially by the revaluation of its Musk holding. IPO Expectations: A $1.75 Trillion Ambition According to Bloomberg reports, SpaceX is targeting an IPO valuation of more than $1.75 trillion , which would dwarf Saudi Aramco's $29.4 billion record raise from 2019. The offering could itself raise up to $50 billion in fresh capital. SpaceX completed an all-stock acquisition of xAI in February 2026, adding the Grok AI platform to its portfolio Starlink remains the primary cash flow engine, with billions in annual US government contracts OpenAI and Anthropic are also considering 2026 public listings, creating a potential $3 trillion stress test for public markets Secondary Pricing Implications Secondary buyers who transacted in SpaceX shares at the $350–$400 billion range in 2024–2025 now sit on substantial paper gains. The December secondary set the new floor, and pre-IPO demand continues to push indicative pricing higher on platforms dealing in SpaceX shares. SpaceX has morphed from a relative underdog in the space industry to an aerospace behemoth that receives billions of dollars in government contracts. Why This Matters for Private Markets SpaceX is the defining benchmark trade in private secondary markets. Each new internal valuation mark cascades through secondary pricing across platforms, affecting bid-ask spreads and the appetite of family offices and institutions to transact. As the IPO window approaches, liquidity pressure will intensify — making secondary access a critical bridge for investors seeking exposure before the listing.
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Afr