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2026-03-23

SpaceX, OpenAI & Anthropic Could Collectively Rank as Three Largest Venture-Backed IPOs in History

PitchBook estimates the potential IPOs of SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic could collectively create more value than all VC-backed IPOs since 2000 combined. SpaceX alone is targeting a $50B raise at a $1.5T valuation, promising 10x returns for its 2023 investors. The AI-era liquidity wave is set to reshape secondary market dynamics in 2026.

The $3 Trillion Venture Liquidity Event The private markets community is bracing for what could be the most consequential IPO window in venture capital history. SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic — three AI-era juggernauts — are all rumored to be eyeing public market listings in 2026, and their combined valuations could dwarf every venture-backed IPO since the dot-com era. PitchBook analysts estimate this trio could "conceivably create more value than all VC-backed IPOs since 2000 have collectively." SpaceX alone is targeting a $50 billion raise at a reported $1.5 trillion valuation — meaning investors who participated in its 2023 round at $137 billion are sitting on a stunning 10x multiple. Secondary Market Implications In the run-up to potential public listings, secondary market activity in these names has intensified significantly. Pre-IPO secondaries for SpaceX have traded at premiums, while OpenAI and Anthropic shares are trading on platforms targeting accredited investors at valuations well above their last primary rounds. SpaceX: $1.5T valuation; secondary asks reportedly starting above $650/share OpenAI: Last primary at $157B; secondary demand remains robust amid AGI narrative Anthropic: $61.5B valuation post-Amazon investment; secondary market growing xAI: Elon Musk's AI venture valued at $50B+; secondary access limited but growing Concentration Risk & LP Dynamics Analysts note significant concentration risk: the biggest winners will be large institutional investors — Nvidia, Microsoft, Altimeter, Coatue, Fidelity, Andreessen Horowitz, and T. Rowe Price hold stakes across multiple names. This concentration may further reinforce the power of mega-fund LPs in the secondary market for these assets. "This could further push the concentration that has been building in VC for a couple of years." — Stanford analysis cited by Fortune Why This Matters for Private Markets If these three IPOs materialize, they will inject an unprecedented wave of liquidity into the venture ecosystem — potentially unlocking distributions for thousands of LPs who have been starved of exits for half a decade. For secondary buyers, the window to acquire pre-IPO exposure at meaningful discounts is rapidly narrowing as listing timelines become more concrete. Sellers holding these names on secondary platforms should reassess pricing strategy in the near term.

Source

Fortune